No down redux

Back on Mar. 15, we posted an entry about the government’s new Flat 35 plan to stimulate property sales. The main new feature of the plan is that people who want to buy homes can borrow 100% of the money needed, meaning that they don’t have to make a down payment. A recent article in the Tokyo Shimbun talked about the inherent dangers of this plan, outlining what a typical family could expect to pay for the next 35 years if they buy a typical property usisng the plan. Though the interest rate is fixed, the writer of the article, one of Japan’s most noted housing experts, compared the situation it sets up to the situation caused by the spread of subprime loans in the U.S. Basically, he says that the purpose of the loan is to draw people into the housing market who don’t really make enough money to buy homes. Once they get into the market, they find they will have less money to pay for other things, like their children’s education. The government tried something similar in the 1990s with so-called “relaxed loans” and a lot people went bankrupt. He thinks Flat 35 will lead to even more.

Air conditioners

It’s that time of year again–bonus time, when electrical appliance stores push air conditioners to people who probably already have them. According to government statistics, 90% of Japanese households already have air conditioners installed in their homes, so why do people keep buying new ones? One reason right now is that the government, in order to stimulate consumption, is offering “eco points”–credits that can be used to purchase other things later–for digital TVs, energy-saving refrigerators, and energy-saving air conditioners. The ostensible idea is to promote energy conservation, but it’s difficult to believe that is what is going to happen if everyone buys a new appliance and thus throws their old one away. This seems especially problematic when it comes to aircons, which are heavy and difficult to install and remove. After the jump, an article I wrote for the Asahi Shimbun about air conditioners that still applies. Read More

The bonus that isn’t

One of the more insidious economic practices in Japan is the bonus system. Bonuses are regularly handed out to workers and management twice a year, whether you work in the private or the public sector. Traditionally, they are almost never considered merit-based or, for that matter, even performance-based (performance in terms of company profits, that is). The bonus amount depends on seniority and position, and in practical terms is looked upon not as a “bonus” in the Western sense, but simply as an integral part of the annual salary. However, calling it a bonus gives the employer a lot of leeway and a kind of safety valve when times are tough. It can also be disastrous for people with mortgages. Read More

Kill the landlord 2

The newspapers were all over this. Three bodies were found in an apartment in Kawasaki yesterday. All had been stabbed to death. A tenant in the apartment building admitted to carrying out the killings. The victims were the landlord, the landlord’s brother, and the brother’s wife. The suspect had lived in the building for five years and had a reputation for drinking and not always being on time with the rent. Read More

Hot stats

Japan’s Real Estate Finance Research Laboratory just released its latest batch of figures for condo starts in Japan. As of the end of March, 463 high-rise condominium buildings are under construction throughout the country. That means buildings of at least 20 stories. These buildings comprise 143,826 units. Of these, 153 will be completed before the end of 2009. Read More

Kill the landlord

Two days ago there was a huge fire in Yayoi-cho, Itabashi ward in western Tokyo. A large wooden yashiki (mansion, literally) burned to the ground. Two bodies were found on the premises, presumably belonging to the 74-year-old owner of the house and his 69-year-old wife. Though the bodies were burnt beyond recognition, police determined that both had been stabbed. They also found some 10,000-yen notes scattered about. The house stood on 3,000 square meters of land, which is huge for Tokyo, and the owner is one of the biggest landlords in that part of town. Read More

Vertical life

At present the tallest structure in Japan is Tokyo Tower. In Dec. 2011, a new broadcast tower, the Tokyo Sky Tree, will be completed near Oshiage station in Sumida Ward, thus becoming the tallest structure in Japan at 610 meters. Sumida Ward is the heart is “shitamachi,” the old working class residential district of Tokyo. Though much of eastern Tokyo was destroyed by firebombing raids during World War II, this particular area was spared, so it retains the cramped, maze-like character that makes shitamachi unique. Families have lived here for generations in very tight-knit communities, in mostly old wooden structures called “nagaya,” which literally means “long house.” The streets are so narrow in this part of town that they can’t even be called alleys, and if there’s a fire (and there often is), forget it. No fire trucks can get through. These neighborhoods predate anything approaching city planning, but because of the Sky Tree, a lot of people had to be talked into moving or selling their land. Read More

What’s in a name?

I live in a tall, publicly managed apartment building, and when I provide my address on forms or recite it over the phone I leave off the name of the building, because it’s long and unnecessary. However, some forms and interlocutors insist on building names, and in the case of verbal communication it can be a real pain–all those distinct katakana syllables standing in for Western words. The thing is, this naming insanity is getting worse and worse. Read More

Stress test

The other day, during a relatively lighthearted discussion on NHK about a heavy subject–the economic prospects for the current generation of 35-year-olds–a statistic dropped like a bomb. According to some government survey, 82% of all 35 year-olds in Japan makes ¥2 miiion or less a year. This number was cited in relation to marriage prospects, since most women these days are becoming more practical-minded about marriage partners. However, the government, not to mention the housing industry, should be very, very scared by this statistic. Read More